Letters CCCXXIX
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[ Link here = http://www.orange-papers.info/orange-letters329.html#Moritz_G ]
Date: Sat, October 13, 2012 7:49 am (answered 14 October 2011)
> I quite agree with your point about assuming which side of the Laffer Curve we are on. That is the common cretique. But there is more to it. The assumption is that the tax lowers the volume of the underlying transfer. But does a tax on food lower the consumption much? Does a tax on income lower the income? No it does not. It is not about the curve. The curve does not even exist for general income. It only exists for things like candy. I was just remembering that Elvis Presley paid a 92% income tax rate, and that still did not stop him from working and making money, and becoming a millionaire. And the Beatles paid a 95% tax rate in Great Britain. So apparently we have to go awfully high up on the Laffer curve before taxes discourage people from working and making money.
> What I wonder about the Laffer Curve is, "What has the real result of reducing taxes on the rich been?" The result is a lack of consumption and too much liquidity, or too little to invest in. Therefore the investing went into bubbles. Blaming it on "liquidity" doesn't mention the fact that Allan Greenspan repeatedly turned on the money faucet whenever the economy started to slow down a little, resulting in a lot of money with nowhere to go, except into another bubble. That was the cause of the excess "liquidity". Greenspan set interest rates so low that corporations and investment banks (read "speculation banks") could profit by borrowing money from the Fed almost for free and then gambling with it in the next bubble. We had the Internet/hi-tech bubble, and the real estate bubble, and then the finance/mortgage/credit-default-swap bubbles, all caused by that same oversupply of money looking for somewhere to go. I seem to recall that the American people were consuming their usual amounts of junk, but they couldn't sanely consume the amounts of cash that Greespan was dumping into the economy.
> Funny how the proponents of even more tax cuts for the rich ignore those facts, and continue to claim that things will be great if the rich pay even less. And even greater if they pay nothing. Yes.
> It looks to me like some greedy pigs just don't want to pay taxes. And that is pretty much all that there is to it. Of cause you can stimulate an economy both monetarily and fiscally. Either you raise the deficit or you let others borrow more, by lowering the interest-rate. After decades of stimulus the government ran out of stimulus and now faces the structural / underlying problems. They kept doping a sick horse and ran out of drugs. Moritz Yes, exactly. The Fed cannot reduce the interest rate below zero. Coincidentally, the Japanese have had their interest rates at zero for a decade and it didn't pull the Japanese economy out of the doldrums. One possible explanation is the fact that the Japanese outsourced their jobs to China. "Made In Japan" used to be synonymous with "cheap junk", but not any more. Now Japanese labor is expensive, so the Japanese corporations have subcontracted out the work to China. When I bought an expensive Olympus DSLR camera, I thought I was buying a Japanese camera. Nope. It says "Made in China" on the bottom. Now China's economy is booming, growing at a world-record rate, while the USA and Japan are suffering. It seems obvious that prosperity goes with the jobs. Where the jobs go, so does the money. The one solution to our current economic problems that nobody has tried yet is the one that I thought President Obama would start the day that he got into office (and should have): works programs. That is what President Roosevelt finally used during the Great Depression: WPA, CCC, and the like. We have a crumbling infrastructure, pot-holey roads, bridges falling down, and decaying cities that are begging for millions of workers to come and fix things, while millions of people sit around unemployed and running out of benefits, and becoming "Ninety-niners". The solution seems obvious to me. The only complaint against that is that it will raise the deficit some more, at least temporarily. Somehow that doesn't seem as important as families having both parents unemployed for years, and losing their house, which is then stripped of metal and destroyed by vandals when it is unoccupied, so that entire neighborhoods get trashed and Cincinatti has to bulldoze 100,000 trashed-out homes. It would have been better for America to keep those families in those homes. And even worse, doing nothing is also raising the deficit, because we are still funding the Pentagon and two wars and a zillion pork-barrel projects. And Congressmen who sold their souls to the Devil made it the law that Medicare cannot negotiate drug prices down, and things like that. The government can't just stop doing everything to avoid running up deficits. So might as well do something useful. Oh well, have a good day now. == Orange
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** "A little patience and we shall see the reign of witches pass over, their ** spells dissolve, and the people recovering their true sight, restore their ** government to its true principles. It is true that in the meantime we are ** suffering deeply in spirit, and incurring the horrors of a war and long ** oppressions of enormous public debt. But if the game runs sometimes ** against us at home we must have patience till luck turns, and then we ** shall have an opportunity of winning back the principles we have lost, ** for this is a game where principles are at stake." ** == Thomas Jefferson [The next letter from Moritz_G is here.] ![]()
Date: Sat, October 13, 2012 9:11 am (answered 14 October 2011) Sent from my iPad Hello Dion, Well, you opened with a very interesting line, but the body of the message was missing. Is what how someone becomes a cult leader? Have a good day now. == Orange
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** Calvinism started as an intense cult. Heck, Calvin had a dozen ** and a half people publicly executed, something the Scientology ** leadership would drool over, but 300 years later the Methodists ** are as mellow as you could ask for. ** == Keith Henson ![]()
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OP ED: 16 October 2012 Laura Tompkins recently wrote an article for the Huffington Post, criticizing A.A. for being too negative: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/laura-tompkins/alcoholics-anonymous_b_1383849.html A "sober lawyer" named "Dick" attacked Laura and defended A.A. in his blog: Dick's response is just loaded with A.A. slogans and misinformation. I want to respond to a few of his statements (in red):
Have a good day now. == Orange
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** Alcoholics Anonymous is not a "self-help group", it is ** an "elf-help group". You pray to a doorknob or a bedpan ** or a "god" or a "group of drunks" or some other strange ** "higher power", and it will supposedly keep you sober. ![]()
Date: Mon, October 15, 2012 8:14 am (answered 16 October 2012)
Peter Ferentzy, PhD
Hi again, Peter, Thanks for the email. Now that is of interest. Have a good day now. == Orange
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** We've been brainwashed with wrong information, ** and now we gotta get good information. ** == Dr. Joel Fuhrman ![]()
Date: Sat, October 13, 2012 10:47 pm (answered 16 October 2012) Hi Orange, I came across your site and find the cult section immensely helpful, as I was involved in the new-age movement for years, and prior to that I grew up in Christianity, then switched to Paganism. While in the new-age movement (the most dangerous, in my opinion), I read every author of Hayhouse, am sad to report that my beloved PBS channels now offer Wayne Dyer as programming, and am surprised you did not include Byron Katie's scary cult as one of your examples of psychological tactics. I had a question, and would very much like to hear your oppinion on rehab programs like Promises (all the celebrities go there) and Origins Recovery Center and La Hacienda (Dr. Phil sends all the addicts there.) It would be interesting to hear your take on those types of places, as they seem to be country-club resorts as well as "top-notch" treatment programs, though I wonder just how top-notch they are. I read your recovery story and commend you on needing a brief intervention to get the job done, but I also recognize that some people really do need long-term care (or at least think they do) judging by the number of times they've been told "you're gonna die if you don't quit" and they still engage in drugs anyway. Thanks so much for a wonderful, informative site! Angie Hello Angie, Thanks for the letter and the compliments and the questions. Well, first off, I don't object to PBS running programs of Dr. Wayne Dyer. I like him. He has a high truth-to-noise ratio in his teachings. I never heard of "Byron Katie's scary cult" before. I shall have to check it out. About those fashionable, luxurious California rehabs like Promises of Malibu, I have a very low opinion of them. They seem like a good way to waste $40,000. We have all been entertained by the stories of movie stars going there, and coming out 28 days later raving about how they have been helped, and they've seen the light, and it's all so wonderful. Then, a few months later, they are back in court for DWI or some drug bust, same as usual. Then, they tell the judge that they will go back to "rehab" for more "treatment". I consider Dr. Phil's TV show to be beneath contempt. He is playing vicious games with people's lives just to get ratings. I wonder how much people need long-term treatment. The classic test of that was the study done in England by Doctors Jim Orford and Griffith Edwards. It was the biggest and longest and most expensive test of A.A.-based treatment in Great Britain. They took a bunch of alcoholics and randomly divided them into two groups. One group got the full hospital-based treatment program with lots of A.A. meetings, and full access to all of the facilities of the hospital. That went on for a year. The other group got a doctor talking to the alcoholic and his wife for only one hour, only one time, telling him to quit drinking or he would die. That was the entire "treatment program". Just one hour. Nevertheless, at the end of the year, both groups were equally sober. All of the treatment and A.A. meetings and "moral support" for a year did nothing more than just a one-hour talk with the doctor. You can read more about the test here: http://www.orange-papers.info/orange-effectiveness.html#Orford By the way, if people really want an on-going support group for moral support, they can go to things like SMART or SOS where they won't get so much misinformation and quackery and cult religion. Have a good day now. == Orange
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** Note that any- and everything that keeps you from appreciating ** your spiritual source is an impediment. This particularly ** includes relying on someone else or some organization without ** examining the truths that they insist you believe. ** == Dr. Wayne W. Dyer, Inspiration Perpetual Flip Calendar, 19 December ![]()
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Well, here it is another year again. How time flies when you are goofing off. Today it's 12 years off of alcohol and drugs. And in three more weeks, it will be 12 years off of cigarettes and any other form of tobacco, too. It's also been about 10 1/2 years since I've been to an A.A. meeting, even to just pick up a coin. Have a good day now. ![]()
Date: Wed, August 15, 2012 6:19 pm (answered 21 October 2012) Great Terry, Yes, indeed I do know how much money you save by riding a bike and not owning a car. I do detailed budgeting, pay cash out of envelopes for most things. I follow many minimalist, simple living, tiny homes, small homes, debt free blogs. I am evolving that direction. Many things have left my home the past few weeks. The transition has been going on for years though. I am searching for what is right for me in terms of how I can live comfortably and peacefully. I don't want to carry burden, don't want a lot of money to manage, certainly don't want a lot of "things" which only burden me and cause me to be a burden to others and burden the planet. I hope to leave the south. I don't like it here. I was afraid they would start shooting over the Chicken sandwich anti-gay thing, so I stayed close to home that day. For the most part, people here's answer to most everything is (1) get a gun, (2) pray about it or (3) come to our church. I pass two rebel flags everyday when I walk out of my apartment on my way to the parking lot. I too am much happier with less, less of most everything. I shopped at my local Goodwill store on Saturday! Great find, a bike for $10!! Most everything I have was bought used. Fits me just fine. Basic cable comes with my apartment but I surely would not pay for it. My TV gets turned on about 10 hours a year! I'm thinking of selling it! I would love to hear more about your simple lifestyle. Have you always lived with the values you have now? What caused you to make changes? How did you figure it all out? Thank you for sharing, Terri Hi again, Terri, Sorry to take so long to answer this. I set it aside for special handling because you were asking some good questions, and it got kind of buried behind the rush of incoming stuff. Anyway, here we are. I'm also living pretty minimalistically, even if it isn't entirely by choice. Or maybe it is. If I'm not motivated enough to work and scheme and scam to get more money to support a lavish lifestyle, then that just might be a choice, no matter whether it's conscious or unconscious. If I don't feel like its worth it to sacrifice a big chunk of my life and go through a lot of suffering to get more money to get more things, then that is a choice. Still, I have a zillion things and some friends call me a packrat or a hoarder. So I'm not a sterling example of minimalistic living at all. Not at all like the guy I just saw on TV who only owned around 50 things, including his hairbrush. It's more like I enjoy frugal living. I think they call it champagne living on a beer budget. For example, I take pictures with a high-class camera that cost $3000 new. Now I didn't pay that much for it, I got it used for $1000. Still, it's a good camera, and it's an example of what I can get if I don't waste my money on a car. Or a telephone. Or unnecessary expenses like that. So I'm really just choosing other priorities. I guess I like cameras more than cars or telephones. About the rebel flag thing: I thought about what would happen if somebody put up such a flag in Portland, and had a bit of a laugh. It would make a great TV show โ a wacky comedy. An angry noisy mob would quickly assemble in front of the house, and the police would have to be called to protect the rebel flag and its owner. And they would argue over his right to free speech versus offending people and hurting their feelings and the veiled endorsement of racism. Then the local TV news teams would show up and make a big deal of it. The flag owner would undoubtedly be shamed into taking the flag down within hours, or two days at most. I can see it as an episode of "Portlandia". A script writer could have fun with that plot line. Speaking of which, if you leave the South, Portland is another world to consider. I mean, it is literally another world. I've also lived in the South for a while, in Arkansas and North Carolina, and from that I can say for sure that Portland is on another planet compared to the South. I also shop at Goodwill all of the time, and most of what I have I bought used, or surplus. Actually, I've gotten so spoiled that I mostly buy just new clothes at Goodwill now. High-end stores donate lots of new stuff to Goodwill โ stock clearances, and discarding slightly flawed new stuff. I love the kids with the candy fingers. Some kid touches new clothes in an upscale store, and they are ruined instantly. Well, actually not ruined, but they have candy on them, and the store can't sell them in that condition. The store cannot waste the effort and money and employees' time to wash the clothes, because if they do, then the clothes are used, not new, so it's a no-win money-losing proposition, no matter whether they wash them or not. So off to Goodwill the stuff goes, for a tax deduction. One washing, and the candy is gone, and I have brand new clothes at 80% or 90% off. I even wait for the stuff to go to half price before I buy it, so it is really cheap. I have gotten a large wardrobe of beautiful new clothes that way. (So that isn't exactly a minimalistic lifestyle.) Getting a good bicycle for $10 was a bit of luck. It was priced so low because the seat was missing. Hence it's an incomplete unrideable fixer-upper, and they priced it accordingly. I bought it for parts to fix my current bike, but quickly realized that it was in much better shape than the one I already had, so I reversed the order and took the seat and other parts off of my old bike. That kind of balances out the fact that I paid too much for my first used bike, and too many things broke too soon. So it goes. Still, it balances out, and I'm getting around incredibly cheaply. Speaking of which, I'm also getting good exercise. At my annual checkups, the doctor raves about what good shape I'm in, for my age. Part of that is due to the fact that I ride a bicycle everywhere, for miles almost every day, rather than sitting in a car pushing down a gas pedal. Guys my age getting no exercise is a killer. It's really the great American killer โ no exercise โ and it causes everything from obesity to heart attacks. So when I ride my bike around, I'm saving both money and my life. Funny how that works. No, I haven't always had all of the values that I have now. Some yes, some no. My thinking was undoubtedly heavily influenced by living on a hippie commune for years. Out there, we had land and trees, and that's it. I mean literally that's it. We had to dig a well for water. Then we had to build our houses. I scrounged old nails and spikes out of an abandoned and rotted out building that had collapsed into a pile of sawdust 30 years earlier, and used the spikes to tack together the logs for my house. It's an incredible experience for absolutely everything that is manmade to come from an outside world. It just gives you a different perspective. It makes you very conscious of what things are and where they come from. Now that doesn't mean that we were totally primitive and totally without technology. What did the guys do as soon as they could? Get electric guitars and form a band. Use a generator for electricity. Still, such an experience leaves you with a different set of values. Like what is really important, when you come right down to it? Better have a good ax and a bowsaw. You can live without a gun, but you need that ax and saw. Now of course living in a city or town presents a different set of problems, and you can survive without the ax or saw, but I still find that I have a primitive sort of set of values where I'm always thinking about simple survival, like food and firewood, and how to survive if the system breaks down. And I have also gotten an ax and saw from Goodwill, too, and I keep them stashed in a closet, just in case. And I'd like to live even further out in the boondocks, and will, if the opportunity presents itself. About how I got it all figured out, I don't know that I have. I have just arrived at a place where I'm pretty happy with how things are. But I'm still working on the big things, like enlightenment and spirituality and perfection, or as close as I can get to it. Have a good day now. == Terry
* orange@orange-papers.info * * AA and Recovery Cult Debunking * * http://www.Orange-Papers.org/ * ** "Now I know what it's like to be high on life. ** It isn't as good, but my driving has improved." ** == Nina, on "Just Shoot Me", 13 Jan 2006. ![]()
Last updated 7 March 2013. |









